The big picture: Pennsylvania’s May 19 primary elections set the table for what is expected to be one of the most competitive political environments in the country this November. With the governor’s race at the top of the ticket, four U.S. House seats rated as toss-up or lean, and both chambers of the General Assembly in play, the organizations and officials nonprofits depend on for advocacy, funding, and policy are all facing potential change. Control of both the state House — currently held by Democrats by a single vote — and the state Senate — held by Republicans 27-23 — is considered genuinely competitive.
Governor’s race: Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro, who ran unopposed in the Democratic primary, will face Republican State Treasurer Stacy Garrity in November. Both were uncontested. This race matters enormously for nonprofits: Shapiro has been a consistent advocate for nonprofit funding and a proponent of cannabis legalization as a budget revenue tool. Garrity has stated she would veto recreational marijuana legalization, eliminating one of the primary revenue proposals in Shapiro’s budget and widening the structural gap nonprofits are watching closely.
Congressional races to watch: Four Pennsylvania congressional districts are rated as competitive or toss-up by national forecasters — all four are in or adjacent to regions where PANO members operate:
State legislature — what changed: Several incumbents lost their primaries, reshaping both chambers heading into November. Notable outcomes:
Why this matters for nonprofit advocacy: The primary results confirm that both chambers of the General Assembly are genuinely contested this November, and that multiple incumbents nonprofits have worked with will not be returning. Relationships built now — through PANO’s regional legislative breakfasts and direct outreach — are particularly valuable, since new members elected in November will arrive in January without established ties to the nonprofit sector. If your organization operates in or serves communities in any of the districts noted above, pay close attention to how these races unfold — the outcomes will directly shape the relationships and advocacy leverage available to you come January. The June 30 budget deadline will be resolved before November, but its outcome will define the sector’s financial position heading into a new legislative session in 2027.
What to do now: If you have not already contacted your state House member and state senator about the budget and impasse protection legislation, do so before June 30. Attend or reach out about PANO’s regional legislative breakfasts (email anna@pano.org). Begin thinking now about how your organization will engage with new legislators who may represent your district come January.
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